The debate, messages, and stakes before Kansas’ significant abortion decision

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WASHINGTON If it’s Monday, the number of people killed by flooding in Kentucky has increased to 28. The first grain shipment since Russia’s blockade on Ukraine has left. Senate Democrats want to vote on the reconciliation agreement this week, but they need all 50 senators to be present and in favor, according to NBC’s Sahil Kapur. Democrats also want to get legislation for veterans who were exposed to toxic burn pits passed despite Republican opposition. The Biden White House is preparing for a hard August, according to NBC’s Mike Memoli. And Joe Manchin raised eyebrows when he mentioned the midterm elections.

But first, the Kansas statewide constitutional amendment on abortion may very well be the most important of all the elections we’ll be covering on Tuesday.

First election including abortion since Roe v. Wade was overruled by the US Supreme Court. The race, in which Kansans will cast their votes in one of two ways, is covered in new reporting by NBC’s Dasha Burns and Abigail Brooks.

“Yes” to amending the state constitution to explicitly say that an abortion right is not guaranteed (despite the state Supreme Court’s 2019 ruling that it is);

vote “no” to maintain the state’s current constitution.
What transpires if “yes” prevails on Tuesday?

I believe that soon there will be restrictions on abortion. According to Emily Wales, CEO of Planned Parenthood Great Plains, Kansas has traditionally placed abortion at the forefront of its political landscape.

According to Danielle Underwood, a representative for the Value Them Both Coalition, the organization in charge of the “yes” campaign, it prepares the way for future discussions “on abortion bans/restrictions” to be able to take place. In the future, I hope Kansans will participate in the debate. The correct kinds of restrictions on abortion in our state are not decided for the rest of us by their unelected judges. And the only way we can participate in this debate once more is if the amendment is passed.

What do “yes” supporters ultimately hope to achieve if the constitutional amendment is approved?

On August 2, I hope we will adopt the “amendment.” I’ll wait until after that to see what happens. Sincerely, I don’t know. And once more, I haven’t discussed it with anyone. Republican state representative Susan Humphries said, “I’m not sure what’s coming up.

On why a primary day in August rather than a general election is being held?

That, in my opinion, presents a very big challenge for us. Ashley All, a representative for Kansans for Constitutional Freedom, the group leading the “no” campaign, believes that the choice to place it on the primary ballot was deliberate. It was also hoped that fewer Kansans would cast ballots.

According to us, August was a good time to pass the amendment since it gave Kansas residents enough time to learn about it and become aware of its truth, Value Them Boths Underwood argued. It remained outside of the general election’s haze of extraneous activities, enabling the people of Kansas to concentrate fully on the pressing issue at hand.

Our opinion: Given the conservative political landscape of Kansas and the August election date, a tight “no” vote would highlight the influence the abortion ruling has given Democrats since Roe v. Wade was overturned.

Additionally, a “no” victory would make a strong statement.

DATA DOWNLOAD: $12.4 MILLION IS TODAY’S NUMBER

According to the ad tracking company AdImpact, that amount of money has been spent on advertisements pertaining to the Kansas abortion ballot initiative.

GOP-affiliated groups who are in favor of the ballot measure have slightly outspent Kansans for Constitutional Freedom, spending almost $6.4 million to their $6 million. The main proponents of the amendment are referred to as Value Them Both.

According to recent fundraising reports, national abortion rights organizations including NARAL and Planned Parenthood have given money to Kansans for Constitutional Freedom. Respect them Both got large contributions from the FreeState PAC of Republican Senator Jerry Moran and many Catholic organizations and dioceses.

Other figures to note:
2: The number of Republicans in the House who dissented from their group on Friday and backed a measure outlawing assault rifles.
5: The number of Democrats in the House who dissented from their group on Friday and opposed a measure outlawing assault rifles.
In the 22 Democratic congressional primaries held this year, a moderate defeated a progressive candidate 14 times, according to Axios.

28: The number of fatalities associated with the severe floods in Kentucky as of this point. Gov. Andy Beshear stated on Meet the Press on Sunday that the number is anticipated to increase in the upcoming days.

MIDTERM ROUNDUP TWEET OF THE DAY: DOWN TO THE WIRE IN MICHIGAN

With Michigan voters going to the polls on Tuesday, the former president’s impromptu support of conservative pundit Tudor Dixon has upended the GOP race for governor in Michigan. The Detroit News reports that Trump is planning to hold a tele-rally for Dixon tonight.

Recent polls have Dixon slightly ahead in the race, and the powerful DeVos family is also supporting her. (Recall that Betsy DeVos, Trump’s former secretary of education, resigned following the attack on the Capitol on January 6).

But as NBC News’ Allan Smith and Henry Gomez report from Taylor, Michigan, Dixon’s surge in the GOP primary originally appeared implausible. When two leading candidates were disqualified off the primary ballot because of forged signatures on their petitions, Dixon was able to profit from the confusion. Additionally, a super PAC supported by the DeVos family boosted her campaign.

Dixon’s main concern is whether or not she can prevail in November.
On the campaign trail, elsewhere:

Arizona Senate: Republicans Jim Lamon and Blake Masters, two of the front-runners in Tuesday’s Senate primary, recently told NBC News’ Vaughn Hillyard that if they had been in the Senate in 2020, they would have protested to the certification of the Electoral College results.

Pennsylvania Senate: According to Politico, the Senate GOP’s campaign arm is privately raising concerns about Mehmet Ozs campaign (although an NRSC spokesman said after the report published that any implication that we dont have full confidence in the Oz campaign and our chances of winning PA is false).

Missouri Senate: According to CNN, the Missouri Senate GOP primary will determine whether disgraced former Gov. Eric Greitens is capable of making a comeback.

Senate campaign in North Carolina: According to the Associated Press, the Democratic Party made all-out attempts to get on the ballot.

Sarah Godlewski, the state treasurer of Wisconsin, withdrew from the Democratic Senate primary on Friday, thereby opening the way for Mandela Barnes, the lieutenant governor. Barnes can now concentrate on defeating Republican Sen. Ron Johnson, starting with the a new ad that was launched on Sunday and criticized the senator for being out of touch.

In this swing district in Orange County, California-47, NBC News’ Sahil Kapur reports on the Republican attempting to topple Rep. Katie Porter.

Kansas-03: According to the AP, Democratic Rep. Sharice Davids is running on highlighting Republicans opposition to abortion rights in Kansas in an effort to hold onto her precarious seat during the upcoming midterm elections.

Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., campaigned for Reps. Andy Levin and Rashida Tlaib, two Democrats facing primary opponents on Tuesday, in Michigan-11/Michigan-12 over the weekend.

FIGHTING DEMOCRATIC MEDDLING IN AD

The House Democrats’ political arm began airing a TV ad last week in Michigan’s 3rd District to support John Gibbs, a far-right challenger to GOP incumbent Rep. Peter Meijer who has received Trump’s endorsement.

Before Tuesday’s primary, a third party, raises0, defends Meijer in a new commercial. The father of Meijer founded the organization, Principled Leadership for Michigan.

It is confirmed by Fox News. The ads’ narrator informs viewers that Nancy Pelosi and the Democrats are spending hundreds of thousands of dollars to elect John Gibbs, their hand-picked candidate for Congress, in the Republican primary.

The hand-picked candidate for Congress from Nancy Pelosi must be rejected by West Michigan. The narrator says, “Say no to John Gibbs.”
ICYMI, here are some further world events:
In a follow-up case, President Biden tested positive for Covid once more.
The DNC delayed voting on whether to maintain Iowa and New Hampshire as the first-in-the-nation primaries until after the midterm elections.
The New York Times covers raises2 in nationwide gubernatorial elections.

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